Hype Cycle - Is it too Soon to Buy?

Hype Cycle - Is it too soon to buy?


With equity markets and other risk assets seeing a correction in the fourth quarter of 2018, we explore the debate on whether it is too soon to buy


  • Equity markets as well as other risk assets have corrected in the fourth quarter of 2018 and the question on everyone’s mind is: “Is it too soon to buy or should we even sell into this decline?”
  • We analyse the sentiment and fund flow data in global equities and show that equity markets are subject to a fascinating divergence of behaviour. While retail investors seem to have become overly pessimistic, institutional investors seem to have stayed calm and may even have put additional money at work.
  • Past evidence points towards these situations as indicative of a recovery in the next three months.


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